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EU and China reach a landmark hybrid vehicle understanding, cutting Chinese exports by more than half over four years. A first step that buys time while leaving the €360bn annual deficit fundamentally unresolved. The EU leaders summit next week will determine whether this is enou...
Chronological backlog of weekly briefings. Each issue features an institutional Risk Matrix, policy monitors, and market data.
Brussels prepares its most aggressive trade toolkit against China yet, including a potential Section 301 style emergency tariff instrument, ahead of EU Trade Chief Sefcovic's make or break visit to Beijing on October 8th and 9th.
Xi-Trump summit delivers pageantry, not progress. A two-month trade truce extension to 10 January was the only concrete outcome. No breakthrough on AI, rare earths, or Taiwan. Beijing used the visit to project strategic parity and probe for American concessions.
The EU has asked China to voluntarily cap hybrid car exports at 15% of the European market, a move that signals Brussels is now actively designing the architecture of managed trade before the October deadline.
China's August trade surplus hit $119 billion, the fourth consecutive month above $100 billion. The year to date total reached $805.5 billion, already surpassing the same period in 2025 and putting Beijing on track to exceed last year's record $1.2 trillion.
EU trade enforcers are now in Beijing demanding China fix what Brussels calls an untenable deficit. Redonnet led talks this week; DG Trade chief Jorgensen confirmed she will follow later this month.
EU trade curbs could hit 27% of Chinese exports to the bloc, Goldman Sachs warns, as von der Leyen demands deficit rebalancing and officials travel to Beijing ahead of the October deadline.
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